Marine Heatwaves Can Scatter Ocean Wildlife More Than a Thousand Miles

A new study finds that these extreme events at sea can rapidly redistribute habitats and animals, including fish and seabirds.

Heatwaves can be dangerous affairs,听intolerable to deadly, especially听for those who听don't have access to air conditioning or a body of water to cool off. But these extreme events aren't limited to land-dwellers: Ocean animals also endure streaks of stifling temperatures, known as marine heatwaves, that can persist for months and seem to be as the climate warms.听

Up until now, most research on marine heatwaves听has听focused on stationary organisms like that have no choice but to endure听the heat鈥攁nd often perish. But a new conducted by researchers at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration examines how听mobile species like fish respond to these climatic听events.听Published today in Nature, the study found that marine heatwaves can raise the temperature of听hundreds or thousands of miles of cold-water habitat, forcing wildlife to quickly move to cooler areas to survive.听

鈥淚n past marine heatwave events along the West Coast, there have been over 1,000 kilometers [620 miles] of displacement,鈥 says Michael Jacox, lead author of the study. 鈥淭he temperatures you would normally see in southern California might actually be found off of northern California or even Oregon.鈥 These dramatic,听temporary shifts affect not only aquatic animals, but also the seabirds听that feed on them.听听

鈥淲e鈥檙e looking at these marine heatwaves in a new way, which is to look at how they displace habitat across the surface of the ocean,鈥 Jacox says. Displacing this habitat displaces fish, too. Atlantic cod, for example, prefer temperatures of around , while Arctic cod听live at temperatures below . When a marine heatwave hits, this original habitat disappears from the region, forcing organisms to flee the affected area in search of cooler, more comfortable waters. The researchers call this distance that species have to travel the 鈥渢hermal displacement.鈥

To understand thermal displacement, the researchers analyzed nearly 40 years of NOAA鈥檚 and found that these heatwave-induced shifts can be huge, in some cases reaching as far as 1,500 miles鈥攅quivalent to the distance from Boston to Miami. Many of the听largest recorded thermal displacements have been caused by El Ni帽o events, which are unusually warm phases that occur in the tropical Pacific Oceanevery few years. El Ni帽o events often line up with observed changes in fisheries catch. For instance,听during the 1998 El Ni帽o听fish populations shifted poleward and, as a result, fisheries caught 鈥攖he lowest catch in a decade鈥攁nd instead caught more sardines and mackerel in the warmer Peruvian waters.听

These sorts of species redistributions make听marine heatwaves important to study, says Michael Alexander, a co-author of the study, because even a couple听of months of abnormal听fish densities听can send ripples up the food chain.鈥淚f birds hatch in the spring and then are not able to get the fish they鈥檙e usually accustomed to, that could lead to the chicks starving," he says.听In the worst cases, it can cause adult seabirds to starve, too.

The most extreme case known to science occurred in the听Northeast Pacific from 2014 to 2016, when听an unprecedented marine heatwave known as 鈥渢he blob"听shifted thermal habitats more than 460 miles, according to the study. During that period, the region experienced one of the largest seabird die-offs in Alaskan history: Tens of thousands of emaciated alcids washed up along the coast. Since 2015, these mass seabird die-offs in the Northeast Pacific have become nearly annual occurrences, affecting Cassin鈥檚 Auklets, Common Murres, and Short-tailed Shearwaters, as well as Alaska鈥檚 Native communities that rely on the eggs for protein.

The mass seabird death associated with the blob "is a very prominent example of听thermal displacement,鈥 says Kathy Kuletz, a U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service biologist. She听recently co-authored a that attributes the death of an estimated 1 million Common Murres in 2015 to the blob. In fact, the seabirds' deaths on the surface gave scientists a clue that something serious was happening underwater鈥攁nd the new analysis confirms that it was听a marine heatwave. Like fish populations, some seabird species have also shifted their distributions under relatively short periods of time, Kuletz says. During the听the region's听warmer-water years of 2017 to 2019, Thick-billed Murres moved north, appearing in higher densities in the southern Chukchi Sea than in their regular habitat of the northern Bering Sea.

Marine heatwaves are growing more common with climate change, and they also offer a preview of how long-term warming will affect fish species and marine ecosystems.听The North Pacific and Arctic Ocean are warming rapidly, and they will likely continue to experience thermal habitat shifts, Jacox says. The effects on wildlife are already apparent: Some seabird听nesting colonies in the Arctic are shrinking as fish populations migrate north, making it hard for birds听like Mandt鈥檚 Black Guillemots to catch enough food to raise chicks. How species will respond, and whether they will be able to adapt fast enough, are open questions.听

In the meantime, humans can begin making the necessary changes to mitigate听the worst impacts of future displacements.听This new research will help scientists and the fishing industry develop听management and conservation measures that factor in marine heatwaves, says听William Cheung, a professor at the University of British Columbia.听"We need to start thinking about how fisheries will adapt," he says. "Not only to long-term warming, but also to these short-term episodic heatwaves and other extreme events."