The Arctic Refuge Lease Sale Was a Flop

As many predicted, the first auction of oil rights in the wildlife refuge earned taxpayers a tiny fraction of what pro-drilling politicians promised.

On Wednesday afternoon, around the same time that President Trump鈥檚 lies about election fraud led a violent mob to invade the U.S. Capitol, it became clear that his administration鈥檚 campaign for oil drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge was likewise built on bad information and falsehoods.听

That revelation came via the Interior Department鈥檚 opening of sealed bids in the first-ever sale of energy leases in the refuge, the culmination of a four-decade campaign by Alaskan politicians and Republicans in Congress to develop the sanctuary鈥檚 wildlife-rich coastal plain, home to caribou, polar bears, and millions of migratory birds.听

The sale, the first ever in the refuge, netted $14.4 million to be split evenly between the federal government and the State of Alaska. When U.S. Sen. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, other Republicans in Congress, and President Trump听opened the refuge to leasing through a 2017 tax bill, they touted a Congressional Budget Office estimate of around $900 million that would pour into federal coffers over the course of a decade, offsetting tax cuts that favored the听wealthy and corporations. The tax bill also called for another lease sale by 2024, but so far the proceeds sit at less than 1 percent of what the CBO predicted. Rents on the leased parcels should raise that figure to .听

鈥淭his was sold and promoted as a revenue generator,鈥 but that narrative proved false, says Autumn Hanna, vice president of Taxpayers for Common Sense. Her group and others warned when the tax bill was being discussed that the revenue projections were , based on about how much companies would bid. 鈥淲e weren鈥檛 surprised at all. This is something we鈥檝e been warning about since the beginning.鈥

Major oil companies sat out the sale. Only three bidders participated, and they leased , for a total of about 553,000 acres. Alaska itself, through a state economic development corporation, was , spending $12 million on nine leases with bids at the sale鈥檚 minimum of $25 per acre. The two other bidders were Regenerate Alaska, Inc., a subsidiary of the Australian company 88 Energy; and Knik Arm Services LLC, a company formed a year ago.听

鈥淭his lease sale was an epic failure for the Trump administration and the Alaska congressional delegation,鈥 said Adam Kolton, executive director of Alaska Wilderness League, in a press release. 鈥淎fter years of promising a revenue and jobs bonanza they ended up throwing a party for themselves, with the state being one of the only bidders.鈥

The lackluster results鈥攁nd the last-ditch move by the state to snap up leases in case no one else bid鈥攔eflect the many risks and challenges of energy development in the wildlife refuge. That includes legal and reputational risks posed through bold activism by the Indigenous Gwich鈥檌n and others who promise a tough fight against any drilling on the coastal plain. Oil companies, stinging from low crude prices, are wary to jump into such a remote and contentious region, and major banks say they won鈥檛 finance projects there.听

Murkowski recognized those difficulties in a press release, noting that the sale 鈥渄id not occur under ideal conditions, but it will benefit Alaskans both in the short-term and well into the future.鈥 The Alaska Oil and Gas Association called the sale 鈥渁 historic event, and decades in the making,鈥 but also acknowledged听the disappointing outcome. 鈥淲hile the results may not have been as robust as we might have expected, industry still supports future access to this area,鈥 said Kara Moriarty, the group鈥檚 president and CEO, in a statement.听

Opponents had hoped to block the sale, but a federal judge on Tuesday for an injunction filed by the 探花精选 and other groups. U.S. District Court Judge Sharon Gleason, put on the bench by President Barack Obama, ruled听that the plaintiffs hadn鈥檛 shown that the sale would cause immediate, irreparable harm, since companies would need permits before they could drill in the refuge.听

Although Gleason allowed the sale to proceed, the court is still considering broader lawsuits from 探花精选 and others that claim the administration鈥檚 work leading up to it broke environmental laws. There are also legal questions about whether the Alaska Industrial Development and Export Authority was qualified to bid on leases, as it is not an oil company.

Before the government issues leases to the top bidders, the Department of Justice must first complete an anti-trust review. That鈥檚 typically a two-month process, but the Trump administration has just two weeks to complete it before Joe Biden鈥攚ho has pledged day-one action to stop drilling in the refuge鈥攖akes office.听

What happens next is uncertain, but it is clear the听groups who opposed the lease sale wont stop now that it鈥檚 come to pass. 鈥淭he Gwich'in Nation has fought this process every step of the way,鈥 said Bernadette Demientieff, executive director of the Gwich'in Steering Committee, in a statement about the sale. 鈥淲e have the strength of generations of love and prayer supporting us, and that is far stronger this administration's greed. We will not back down.鈥澨